Dec 13
Sunday
Christmas Santa Rally 30 Year Statistics: Does the Santa Rally Exist?
We have been reading so much about Santa Rallies, the bears(and contrarions) claiming that “most investors are expecting a Santa Rally” hence as a contrarion it’s best to short the market. We looked into the last 30 years from 1978 up to 2008/2009. We picked 4 time points:
- 7 Dec (Pre-Christmas) - we picked 7th for no particular reason, and did not exclude 1st Dec to make our numbers look good
- Christmas - Last trading day before Christmas holidays (usually 22-23rd Dec)
- Post-Christmas (last day of trading before Christmas - 1 March)
- Post Christmas (last day of trading before Christmas - 1 April)
- We calculated March minus April to see if there was a net fall between March to April. Continue…
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Protected: 1937 vs 2007 Bear Market Comparison: Updated September 2010
1 response - Posted 09.02.10
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Are We in a Secular Bull or Secular Bear?
no responses - Posted 09.01.10
This fantastic analysis is by Doug Short from www.dshort.com - his feeds have been added to our finance and trading network Investoridol so that readers can tune in directly to his articles. His work is excellent and a gold mine which will no doubt save you hours of hardwork crunching numbers and drawing charts on Excel (Doug is the charting ... continue -
Protected: Quick Trade (Updated 1.9.2010)
no responses - Posted 09.01.10
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6th Hindenburg Omen 2010
1 response - Posted 09.01.10
Markets triggered another Hindenburg Omen on 31st August - that is the 6th one so far. The fact that CNBC and Yahoo Finance have Hindenburg Omens in their headlines and technical traders drawing a clear line in the sand with abated breaths (S&P 1040) makes us concern at shorting the current rally - the Dow is now 10112 pre-open. Up ... continue -
Trade Update
no responses - Posted 08.31.10
Short Nifty at 5390 $10/point Update: long Nikkei at 8875 $5/point. continue -
India GDP Data
no responses - Posted 08.31.10
Indian GDP numbers will be out today. Economists are generally bullish and in high hopes - which is a good thing for bears. Much prefer great expectations before results are out when in bearish mode. We have seen expectations vary from 8.7% to 9%. India is known (recently in the post election) to have a "black swan rally" ! We ... continue -
Protected: Taking Profits
no responses - Posted 08.30.10
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