Monday
MaGiK - Edition 11
MAGIK Numbers
Daily and Weekly Dow Jones | FTSE Analysis
By Mr. Magik
9 Feb 2009 | Edition 11
| DOW | FTSE | ||||
| Daily | Week | Daily | Week | ||
| 8214 | 8150 | Pivot | 4285 | 4225 | Pivot |
| 8375 | 8440 | R1 | 4345 | 4400 | R1 |
| 8120 | 7990 | S1 | 4240 | 4110 | S1 |
| 8628 | 8920 | R3 | 4440 | 4700 | R3 |
| 7875 | 7525 | S3 | 4140 | 3800 | S3 |
| 8500 | 8690 | R2 | 4400 | 4550 | R2 |
| 8000 | 7755 | S2 | 4185 | 3965 | S2 |
| 94 | 80 | % | 80% | 85 | % |
Dow
The Dow closed at 8281 on Friday. We are expecting the Dow to trade within a range of 8375 (daily R1) and 8120 (daily S1). Swing is overbought at 94% hence we are expecting a pullback to close to pivot today 8214. We expect daily pivot 8214 to provide minor support, as the swing indicator shows the Dow trying to get out of consolidation. The daily S1 and weekly pivot will act together to support the market today, I don’t expect the DS1 to break and would make a good opportunity to turn long. A major key overlap point at 8000 today, we expect 8000 to be strong support for the week.
Trade plan
No favourable risk reward trade noted, best remain sideline. The risk rewards for selling at daily Pivot is not good as the target is DS1 and stop is DR1. If any trade is to be taken it has to be short at DR1 and stop above WR1 8440. Target 8214
FTSE
The FTSE closed at 4292 in an overbought position on Friday. The expected trade range is between 4345 (DR1) and 4240 (DS1). The FTSE remains very bullish and quick to rise on any positive Dow movements. A 1% rise in Dow can be a 2% rise n FTSE of late. This maybe due to forex translation on valuations being cheap for FTSE.
As for our trade plan, we remain vigilant of developments in the US senate but also careful of big breaking news.
Trade plan
No favourable risk reward noted as shorting at DR1 is also a breakout of the current range. Hence for risk takers turn short at today’s DR1 4340, target is 4240 stop is 4415. Best sell at 4400 (WR1), stop 4415, target is 4240.
Best to your trade,
Mr.Magik
All entries filed under Commodities
1 response - Posted 01.14.09
Our technical indicators suggest that this is an expected pullback within a rally, as stocks continue its losing streak with Dow falling from 9100 to 8180 (down 10.1%) at time of writing. FTSE has fallen from 4600 to 4120 (down 10.4%) whilst Australia 200 is down from 3820 to 3575 ...continue
no responses - Posted 01.11.09
The Big Picture Whilst we are bullish on commodities long term, we believe prices will remain depressed for at least 12 months, if not a few years. Those expecting a a quick rebound will be disappointed. There is a fundamental paradox that the commodity market will have to go through - ...continue
no responses - Posted 01.11.09
TheInflationist bought some GIR last week at 0.34c (market cap: 60mil) with 73 mil in cash reserves, no debt, and 4 mil equity in listed investments. Since then GIR touched a high of 44c (29% above our entry) and closed at 39.5c (market cap 70 mil). TheInflationist got a "please ...continue
no responses - Posted 01.06.09
A very profitable and relatively safe way of making money that the The Inflationist subscribes to is in Discrepancy Trading. We take two opposite positions (ie long X and short Y) to take advantage of temporary decoupling between two prices (index, commodity price etc). This style of trading is not ...continue
no responses - Posted 01.06.09
We picked up $6500 worth of Cooper Energy (COE) at 0.26c as it continues to trade close to cash backing. Its record levels of oil production, high cash backing, recent success at Callowanga, opportunistic takeover attempt of Incremental (which seem like a good investment per se long term) gives us ...continue
2 responses - Posted 01.03.09
The Inflationist believes the best way to hedge against (and profit from) impending inflation is to stock up on physical assets - commodities, properties, and more commodities! Hence, part of our strategy apart from buying commodity indices (includes agriculture index), is to buy highly cashed up, debt-free, preferably producing commodity ...continue
