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Archive for May, 2009

May 29
Friday

Short India 4450

Filed under Uncategorized

Markets remain trading within a tight range -triangulating into a narrow band ready to make a definitive move (up or down is anyones guess). Given our existing positions, we will not be going over the top. We will, though, open another short India at 4450 (the only market that is up 2.6% today) $5/point. We partially closed soem of our naked short India position in our personal portfolio on Wednesday when India sank by 3.6% at 4100, but for the purpose of the Challenge we leave that short open (Rule: Take some profits when it is there). Is India a leading indicator? Maybe - so if you are risk adverse we suggest opening a long Hang Seng or China - currently trading at 10300 (the latter correlates better with India, both being “emerging markets”).

All entries filed under this archive


Markets Rebound
no responses - Posted 05.26.09
Markets played dead over the long weekend, giving everyone (us included) the impression that it was about to turn over. The Dax is currently 4980. 5000 will almost certainly be breached, with 5050 the next target. A break above the previous high would make it likely for further rallies. The ...continue
India versus Hong Kong HK40 Discrepancy
no responses - Posted 05.25.09
HK40 is currently trading at 16940, whilst India 50 (NIFTY) just opened at 4234. We short $5/point India 50 at 4234 and long 7.50 HKD HK40 at 16940. Addition: We have also opened an additional short India at 4240 $5/point. continue
TheInflationist Weekend Summary : 220509
no responses - Posted 05.25.09
Most markets pulled back this week, but the Dax is again showing more strength compared to its peers. Having peaked at about 5050, it is now trading at 4920 at the time of writing. Australia 200 peaked at about 3980 and is now 3760. We made very few trades for ...continue
Back in Dax
no responses - Posted 05.22.09
Shorted Dax $5/point at 4950. Our indicators that markets will close up Friday - so far Dax is up 1%. We reestablished our shorts at $5/pt at 4950 continue
Friday Analysis: Deleveraging on Dax
no responses - Posted 05.22.09
Last nights sharp move down was expected - the Candle chart for the Dax demonstrated this the clearest, with a long tail up (high of 5045) - this is usually a sign of a top3. Together with our earlier analysis of a turning point around 19-20th May, it both aligned ...continue
Dax Correction
no responses - Posted 05.21.09
Our target for a turn on 19-20th May 2009 (ie now) after a double peak so far seems to be proving right. Markets are diving as I type - the FTSE is down 2.4% (4364) whilst the Dax is down (only 1.65%) at 4952. Is this a pure down night with ...continue


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