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Archive for February, 2009

Feb 02
Monday

EUR/AUD and DJIA

Filed under Dow Jones, Forex, TheInflationist StockPicks

TheInflationist got stopped out of our long Dow position at 7945 ($1500 - Ouch!!). We enter another long now at 7880 at $5/point; with another order to open at 7700 at $5/point. Stop is at 7550. We also have an order to open to short the Euro/AUD (mini) at 2.05 for 2 contracts. We feel that we are coming close to a rally. Some big banks (Commonwealth Bank of Australia) have reported (after hours) higher than expected profits. We may see a wave of similar unexpected announcements across the financials (this is purely speculative) - which will drive markets up in line with our technical analysis. There is no doubt that we are in a down trend, and we see more pain to come, but feel that we are in a respite for several weeks to months (contrary to most other financial sites/blogs). The big players are trying to flush small players out before they start buying it up and later on selling it back to us at higher prices before markets turn lower. If markets just move in ONE direction, there simply is not enough money to be made by market manipulators - who thrive on volatility and on going against the majority of smaller players. As we mentioned in our previous post, the FTSE 100 Future contract is still lower than the current indices - suggesting that the masses are expecting it to go lower. These expectations we believe (and hope) will be proven wrong soon. TheInflationist sticks our neck out again! Anyone joining us?

All entries filed under this archive


5 Tricks of Stock Tipping Experts
no responses - Posted 02.02.09
TheInflationist are mindful not to fall into the trap of the typical stock tipper/blogger (most actually charge a subscription for their ability to predict market movements). These are some of the tricks of getting it right: Be vague. This is quite a common trick. Some blogs we read predict markets going ...continue
Exit China H-Shares
no responses - Posted 02.02.09
TheInflationist closed our China H-Shares position at 7000. We have enough riding on Australia and Dow Jones. China provides a wild/leveraged ride if one is fairly certain (if there is such a thing) of a direction. Given the mixed signals, we opt to be conservative. Capital protection is key and ...continue
Elliott Wave Analysis by Tony Caldaro
no responses - Posted 02.01.09
This article is written by Tony Caldaro, New York based investor, and reprinted with permission - for a full version and daily updates please check out his blog January 31 Weekend update REVIEW The FED met this week in its regular FOMC meeting. Rates stayed near zero, they noted they may buy treasuries (monetizing ...continue
TheInflationist: Weekend Summary 020209
no responses - Posted 02.01.09
A few of our indicators generated a sell signal Friday, casting doubts to our multi-week rally before further falls. This is typical of turning points which will challenge the psychology of experienced traders. The Inflationist will aim to close some positions (hopefully profitably) to deleverage. Notice how we have been ...continue


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